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Lachie’s AFL Round 16 Preview: Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood Magpies | Betting Tips

01 July, 2023

Discover expert analysis and valuable betting tips for the exciting AFL Round 16 clash between the Gold Coast Suns and Collingwood Magpies. Explore the potential value in backing the Suns as they face the mighty Pies, highlighting their strong home ground advantage and ability to excel in the contested ball game. Read on for comprehensive insights that could help you make informed betting decisions.

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When it comes to Collingwood Magpies matches, the excitement is guaranteed. Not only are they currently the top team in the league, but the electrifying crowds and captivating atmosphere they create make every encounter a thrilling experience.

Today’s game at Metricon Stadium is no exception, as it is perhaps the biggest match ever hosted at the sunny Gold Coast. Despite the Pies’ dominance, I believe the Suns offer value for punters, and here are two key reasons why:

  1. Home Ground Advantage: While Metricon Stadium may not provide an intimidating atmosphere, the Suns have proven to be a formidable side in Northern conditions. Their performances at Marvel Stadium this year have been commendable, with close encounters against premiership contenders like the Demons and a victory over last year’s premiers, the Cats. Additionally, in similar humid conditions, they triumphed over top-eight contenders, the Bulldogs and Crows, in Darwin. Based on their results this year, the Suns are a dangerous opponent when playing at home.
  2. Contested Ball Game: The Pies are most vulnerable when their opponents can match or outperform them in the contest, particularly in winning clearances, contested possessions, and ground balls. Collingwood thrives on bringing extra numbers to gain an advantage with their aggressive style of play. Therefore, beating them in tight situations, even with fewer numbers, can create opportunities elsewhere on the field, such as forward entries or dangerous one-on-one matchups. This is where the Suns hold a significant advantage. With players like Matt Rowell, one of the league’s best in this aspect of the game, alongside talented midfielders like Noah Anderson, and the strong contributions of players like Humphreys, Fiorini, and Swallow, the Suns possess the skills and personnel to match and exploit Collingwood’s potential weakness.

In conclusion, I believe an upset is possible, and the Suns offer great value at odds of $2.24. With their strong home ground advantage and the ability to excel in the contested ball game, the Suns have the potential to cause an upset against the mighty Magpies.

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