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Brisbane Lions vs St Kilda Saints | AFL Round 24 Preview

26 August, 2023

Get ready for an electrifying clash as the Brisbane Lions take on St Kilda in a pivotal AFL Round 24 match. The Lions aim to secure a top 2 spot with a home final, while the Saints seek a shot at a home elimination final. Dive into this comprehensive preview highlighting recent form, head-to-head records, and expert analysis for a game that promises intrigue and high-stakes action.

Battle for Finals' Advantage

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As the AFL season hurtles towards its climax, one match stands out as the most captivating and consequential in Round 24: the showdown between the Brisbane Lions and St Kilda. Set to unfold on Saturday, August 26, at the GABBA, this clash is more than just a game; it’s a battleground for securing crucial advantages in the upcoming finals.

Pivotal Stakes for Both Sides

For the Brisbane Lions, a victory in this contest guarantees them a coveted top 2 spot on the ladder. This achievement not only underscores their dominance throughout the season but also comes with the golden ticket of hosting a qualifying final at home in the first week of September. The Lions’ astounding home record, boasting 11 wins out of 11 games with an impressive 161% percentage, makes this opportunity a monumental advantage.

On the other side, the St Kilda Saints aren’t willing to let their finals aspirations dim. A win against the Lions opens the door for them to potentially secure a home elimination final. This possibility injects a substantial dose of motivation and determination into their efforts, as they aim to navigate the challenging finals series on their own turf.

Recent Form and Head-to-Head Dynamics

Both teams enter this encounter with strong recent form. The Lions have demonstrated their prowess with a WLWWW pattern in their last five matches, while the Saints are riding high on a WWLWW streak. This momentum only adds to the anticipation surrounding this pivotal clash.

Looking back at their recent head-to-head battles, the Lions have held an edge over the Saints. However, St Kilda has been no pushover, ensuring closely contested matches. The most recent meeting in 2023 saw the Lions secure a 84-56 victory, but history suggests that the Saints are capable of putting up a formidable fight.

Strategic Analysis and Predictions

The game’s dynamics are set to be influenced not only by the stakes at play but also by the tactical brilliance of coaches. Ross Lyon, known for his strategic approach, is expected to orchestrate a game plan that curtails open-scoring opportunities. His intention might be to transform the match into a dogged contest, where the Lions’ free-flowing style could be stifled.

While many expect the Lions to emerge victorious, it’s important to note that the Saints, under Lyon’s guidance, rarely succumb to heavy defeats. As a result, a low-scoring encounter is anticipated, making the -29.5 handicap for the Lions less appealing. For those seeking a more balanced wager, the under 166.5 points could prove to be a strategic choice.

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