Free Horse Racing Tips & Best Bets for Flemington, Melbourne Cup Day 5/11/2024

He’s a seasoned stayer from Willie Mullins’ stable, showing real improvement since last year’s run in this race. His recent win in the Chester Stakes over 2900m was impressive, where he had plenty in the tank at the finish. With Kerrin McEvoy, a master of the Melbourne Cup, on board, Absurde has the maturity and staying power to finish strongly in the 3200m.

He made a bold impression when winning the Bart Cummings, where he led all the way over 2520m, showing grit to hold off late challengers. His run in the Moonee Valley Cup last out didn’t go to plan, but he’s proven he can stay up front and dictate the pace. If he gets a comfortable lead and the track plays to his style, he’s got every chance & I like him a lot at good odds here.

She showed promise on debut in the Maribyrnong Trial, hitting traffic but surging late once she found daylight. Given her natural ability and recent form, she should be well-suited to the Flemington straight and stands a great chance of taking out the 1000m dash.

He’s been consistent and competitive, putting up a fight even when facing seasoned older rivals at Sale. Last start in the Vase, he co-led and held his own despite the slower tempo, showing he’s got the grit for this 1800m challenge.

This gelding’s got some serious kick when he’s in the right conditions, and his first-up win showed he can really turn it on late. If the pace up front is hot, Aldolfito will be coming home strong and could sneak in at a nice price.

Stands out here as a potential value pick in this long-distance contest. He’s shown grit in his recent Morphettville races, pushing forward and making his own luck on pace, which will serve him well over the 2800m at Flemington. His determination was clear in his last start win, where he held off challengers in a solid field. Although he’s drawn wide, he’s fit, in-form, and proven to stay the trip, so if he can settle forward early, he’ll be right in the mix as they approach the final stages.

This veteran has a sharp first-up record, winning three times fresh, which suggests he can surprise after a solid trial at Cranbourne. Though he’s yet to score at Flemington, he’s been competitive in Listed and distance races, often picking up ground late. If he finds a rhythm early and stays out of traffic, his staying power over 2000m could see him challenging the front-runners in the final stretch.

He’s shown a strong winning attitude, especially when controlling the pace, and he’s now two-for-two in his career, demonstrating he can handle pressure up front. Last start at Kensington, he set a good tempo and proved resilient, holding off challenges in the stretch. With Joao Moreira aboard, he gains a highly skilled jockey known for getting the best out of leaders. If he finds a comfortable spot early and avoids excessive pressure, he should win here.