Get valuable insights for the AFL Round 14 clash between GWS Giants and Fremantle Dockers. Read Lachie’s expert analysis and betting tips, including the reasons why the Giants are favored to win and cover the -5.5 handicap
When examining the upcoming match between the GWS Giants and the Fremantle Dockers, it becomes apparent that predicting the outcome could prove challenging for many punters. The Giants, being the home team, face the situation where the slightly stronger side is playing away. Consequently, on paper this contest presents a considerable difficulty in making an accurate selection.
Currently positioned at 14th on the ladder with a record of 5-8, the Giants have not showcased exceptional performances thus far. On the other hand, the Dockers have recovered from a tumultuous start to the season and are now positioned just outside the top eight, sitting at 10th with a record of 6-6.
Nonetheless, my prediction for this match leans towards the Giants covering the -5.5 handicap.
Despite their underwhelming record, the Giants have displayed commendable performances throughout the season. They have encountered several closely contested matches and have put up a fight against some of the league’s strongest teams. Notably, they secured a surprising victory against the Cats in Geelong a month ago. The return of star defender Sam Taylor, who exhibited exceptional form before suffering an injury, and the comeback of skilled midfielder Josh Kelly will undoubtedly bolster the team. These additions will replace the young duo of Fahey and Angwin.
While Fremantle has exhibited impressive form in recent months, following their turbulent start to the season, it is worth noting that they enter this match as slight underdogs. Upon closer examination, the teams appear relatively evenly matched, especially with the inclusion of two prominent players for the Giants, coupled with the home advantage. However, the key factor influencing my prediction of a Giants victory lies in their playing style.
Under the guidance of coach Adam Kingsley, the Giants employ a system that closely resembles that of Kingsley’s former employer, the Tigers. This system emphasizes speed, counter-attacks, and a chaotic playing style, which aims to apply intense pressure and create scoring opportunities through quick transitions on the back of turnovers. The Dockers’ recent loss at home to the Tigers, who employ a similar style, remains fresh in the mind. Consequently, it is conceivable that the Giants, employing a comparable approach, could gain an edge in this match.
In conclusion, considering the somewhat undervalued form of the Giants, the return of star players, and the tactical advantage they possess, I anticipate a Giants victory on home turf, with the team covering the -5.5 handicap.